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this morning a new gallup poll is showing a tighter race. the president is up three points after being up six points at his peak. abc's karen travers has all of the latest now from the campaign trail. >> reporter: california is safely in president obama's corner, but he's not there looking for votes. he's raising campaign cash, a lot of it. >> are you fired up? >> reporter: the stars came out. george clooney, stevie wonder, jon bon jovi, and katy perry, all on hand to support the president's re-election. >> everything we fought for in 2008 is on the line here in 2012, and i need your help to finish what we started. >> reporter: it will be a lucrative california swing. over two days the obama campaign's expected to raise a minimum of $9.5 million. no surprise that the president is shattering fund-raising records. last month the president's campaign and the democratic party raised $181 million, bringing his re-election total to $835 million. romney's raised at least $548 million so far. mitt romney's spent his second consecutive day asking for
this morning a new gallup poll is showing a tighter race. the president is up three points after being up six points at his peak. abc's karen travers has all of the latest now from the campaign trail. >> reporter: california is safely in president obama's corner, but he's not there looking for votes. he's raising campaign cash, a lot of it. >> are you fired up? >> reporter: the stars came out. george clooney, stevie wonder, jon bon jovi, and katy perry, all on hand to support...
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. >>> president obama and governor romney get ready to tackle voters' questions as a new poll shows yet another shift in the lead. it's monday, october 15th. >> announcer: from abc news, this is "world news now." >>> everyone's favorite day of the week. good monday morning, everybody. i'm rob nelson. >> it's actually not my favorite day of the week. >> yeah. >> oh, sarcasm. >> there you go. she's quick tonight. >> always a little slow on mondays. paula faris. >>> we're going to have the latest on how candidates are tweaking their strategies for their second debate. >>> but first, a look at some of the other stories we're going to follow this half hour. a death-defying plunge to earth, 883 miles an hour, unbelievable, with just a parachute to break his fall. how felix baumgartner managed to cheat death. it was a picture-perfect free fall and landing. look at that moment right there. he did it, shattering the world record. he did it. unbelievable. people were riveted to the video over the weekend. >> i can't imagine free falling for other four minutes. >> no. and at almost 900 miles an ho
. >>> president obama and governor romney get ready to tackle voters' questions as a new poll shows yet another shift in the lead. it's monday, october 15th. >> announcer: from abc news, this is "world news now." >>> everyone's favorite day of the week. good monday morning, everybody. i'm rob nelson. >> it's actually not my favorite day of the week. >> yeah. >> oh, sarcasm. >> there you go. she's quick tonight. >> always a little...
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Oct 9, 2012
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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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national polls show mitt romney getting a real bounce out of the debate win. we'll have the latest on that ahead. >>> also ahead, we'll have the latest on the escalating meningitis outbreak. the number of cases more than doubling over the weekend to 91. dr. besser joining us with what you need to know right now. >>> and we have some big news for one of our family members, sam. [ applause ] many of you know his fantastic news. over the weekend, do you want to tell, or shall i? >> i -- i drks i -- i was -- i got engaged. [ applause ] >> there's the ring. >> thank you. yeah, thank you very much. and the amazing response from folks all over the country was just incredible for us. and i thank you. and we'll talk about that. >> we have a wedding to plan. >> we got a wedding to plan. >> so excited, sam. we'll talk more about that coming up. >>> that's right, sam is leading off the show because we have freezing weather headlines to talk about. after the third hottest summer on record, the u.s. is getting a quick turnaround with winter-like air. look that snow. so many
national polls show mitt romney getting a real bounce out of the debate win. we'll have the latest on that ahead. >>> also ahead, we'll have the latest on the escalating meningitis outbreak. the number of cases more than doubling over the weekend to 91. dr. besser joining us with what you need to know right now. >>> and we have some big news for one of our family members, sam. [ applause ] many of you know his fantastic news. over the weekend, do you want to tell, or shall i?...
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he's 49 and obama 47 in the polls. in ohio, 48/47, romney. a new cnn poll has obama ahead. all those polls within the margin of error is close. romney's family reportedly won a fight with campaign handlers leading to a candidate telling more personal stories this week. tuesday night he spoke of inadvertently crashing a party and meeting a former navy seal. >> i just learned a few days ago that he was one of the two former navy seals killed in ben ghazi and it broke my heart. >> we've got some work to do. we've got an election to win. >> reporter: the president was also in ohio, his 17th rally there, touting new jobs numbers. >> this past friday we found out the employment rate had fallen from 10% to -- the lowest number since i took office. >> reporter: the disappointment, bill clinton said, to republicans who fought jobs plans. >> you've got to feel some sympathy with them because they worked so hard to keep unemployment above 8% and they got above two months of getting the job done. it almost makes you want to cry for the disappointment that they face. it really broke the
he's 49 and obama 47 in the polls. in ohio, 48/47, romney. a new cnn poll has obama ahead. all those polls within the margin of error is close. romney's family reportedly won a fight with campaign handlers leading to a candidate telling more personal stories this week. tuesday night he spoke of inadvertently crashing a party and meeting a former navy seal. >> i just learned a few days ago that he was one of the two former navy seals killed in ben ghazi and it broke my heart. >>...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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new polls have said romney is enjoying a post debate bounce. the average of national polls this week put him in the lead for the first time. with the run can candidate also gaining ground among key voting groups and in some important swing states. is the surge real and what can mitt romney do to sustain it? for answers we turn to republican pollster witt, ayer. a couple weeks back before the debate when the republicans thought it was over, you were saying, no, this race is a lot closer. where does it stand now? >> thank you, paul. that was a pretty easy call. [laughter] >> today if you look at the effect of the debate, it's pretty significant. i'm talking about the first presidential debate. >> right. >> in the eight polls that were released in the week immediately before the debate, obama had a lead of 3.6 percentage points on average. in the seven polls that had been released so far in the week after the debate, romney has an average lead of 1.3 percentage points. that's a net turnaround of about 5 percentage points, which is very significant
new polls have said romney is enjoying a post debate bounce. the average of national polls this week put him in the lead for the first time. with the run can candidate also gaining ground among key voting groups and in some important swing states. is the surge real and what can mitt romney do to sustain it? for answers we turn to republican pollster witt, ayer. a couple weeks back before the debate when the republicans thought it was over, you were saying, no, this race is a lot closer. where...
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and this amazing surge in the poll for romney. pugh, gallup, you name it, they are saying nothing but nice things about governor romney. what is your reaction? >> my reaction is president obama better do more than just make a few jokes at a fund-raiser out in los angeles. lou: was that a joke? >> she did say he was having an off night and not a stellar performance. lou: let's share this self-deprecating humor. i'm going to call everybody's caught the president's laughing and used face as he says this. see how much fun you thought the president was having as he made this self-deprecating joke. >> everybody here is an incredible professional, such great friends. they just performed flawlessly night after night. i can always say the same. [laughter] lou: did you see him cracking up? he can barely control himself. >> his idea of settles humor. i mean, what can he do? lou: the great one is so new ones that we cannot detected. >> at least he acknowledged that he has a problem. lou: what do you think? >> well, his surrogates are out ther
and this amazing surge in the poll for romney. pugh, gallup, you name it, they are saying nothing but nice things about governor romney. what is your reaction? >> my reaction is president obama better do more than just make a few jokes at a fund-raiser out in los angeles. lou: was that a joke? >> she did say he was having an off night and not a stellar performance. lou: let's share this self-deprecating humor. i'm going to call everybody's caught the president's laughing and used...
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earlier we talked about the polls and mitt romney on the move. mitt romney spent 90 minutes on the stage lying about everything he claimed to stand for prior to the debate. he lied about his tax plan, he lied about his health care plan, he lied about medicare and medicaid and social security, he lied about deregulation, he lied about jobs, he lied about education. think about this. after campaigning for 18 months on a tax plan for the job creators there that will reduce their taxes 20% on personal income, cut capital gains taxes and business taxes, romney stood on stage with president obama and denied all of that. he told the american people that he really didn't have a plan, which my friends, is completely a 180. after saying it, every campaign stop for 18 months that he would repeal obama care on day one, he stood before the american people and said his plan would take care of preexisting conditions. after the debate, his campaign admitted it would not. romney says his health care plan, which passed in massachusetts, would be good for states. b
earlier we talked about the polls and mitt romney on the move. mitt romney spent 90 minutes on the stage lying about everything he claimed to stand for prior to the debate. he lied about his tax plan, he lied about his health care plan, he lied about medicare and medicaid and social security, he lied about deregulation, he lied about jobs, he lied about education. think about this. after campaigning for 18 months on a tax plan for the job creators there that will reduce their taxes 20% on...
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romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins. >> the media is focusing on one poll. >> that's reaction to the recent batch of polling, including that devastating pew poll that showed a four point romney lead. now consider that pew took an earlier poll in september a couple weeks before the debate, it was the republicans going ballistic when it showed romney eight points down. watch. >> these polls are basically just part and parcel of the campaign for barack obama to help him stay in this game as long as possible. >> if you believe what the polls are saying right now, you've got to believe that there's s
romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins....
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in the increasingly important state of ohio. >> now that we're seeing polls turn in romney's favor, his wife and his eldest son, tagg, have mounted a new approach behind the scenes. abc's david muir is traveling with romney in ohio. >> reporter: a more personal, more emotional mitt romney on the campaign trail. >> so, i was happy to put my hand on his shoulder and thank him. express my love to him and asked god to bless him. and he -- >> reporter: speaking of an old classmate he saw at a campaign event, ailing in a wheelchair. >> i got a call that he died the next day after that visit. it's rare you get a chance to tell someone you love them. >> reporter: and stopping his motorcade as children waved on. it landed him right on the front page. reports by politico that this shift is driven by ann romney and his son, tagg, arguing inside the campaign, they should show more of the dad they know. the obama campaign tried to remind people of another character that came up in the debate. romney said the cuts he would make to bring down the deficit, pbs. >> criminals, glutens of greed. and t
in the increasingly important state of ohio. >> now that we're seeing polls turn in romney's favor, his wife and his eldest son, tagg, have mounted a new approach behind the scenes. abc's david muir is traveling with romney in ohio. >> reporter: a more personal, more emotional mitt romney on the campaign trail. >> so, i was happy to put my hand on his shoulder and thank him. express my love to him and asked god to bless him. and he -- >> reporter: speaking of an old...
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Oct 8, 2012
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romney trailed by eight points earlier in month in that poll. we look at the poll numbers and all the important electoral college count in just a few moments. but first, governor romney says the president's global vision puts american national security at risk. chief political correspondent carl cameron has specifics. >> at the virginia military institute in measured tone, mitt romney wants his toughest critique yet of obama foreign policy. >> america security and cause of freedom cannot afford four more years like the last four years. >> romney said hope is not a strategy. administration policy weakened the u.s. and its allies while emboldening the enemies. >> with iran closer than ever to nuclear weapons capability with the conflict in syria threatening to destabilize the region and with violent extremists on the march, and with an american ambassador and three others dead, likely at the hands of al-qaeda affiliates, it's clear that the risk of conflict in the region is higher now than when the president took office. >> romney ripped the admin
romney trailed by eight points earlier in month in that poll. we look at the poll numbers and all the important electoral college count in just a few moments. but first, governor romney says the president's global vision puts american national security at risk. chief political correspondent carl cameron has specifics. >> at the virginia military institute in measured tone, mitt romney wants his toughest critique yet of obama foreign policy. >> america security and cause of freedom...
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. >> a brand-new poll shows governor romney with a 2-point edge over president obama. >> the day after the debate, the ground swell of romney winning was bigger and bigger. i think that will widen. >> obama's been on defense and he is going down in the polls. >> we have polling data now that shows romney ahead, wherever he is ahead, i think hebe he has been ahead for months or weeks. i don't think it happened overnight. they're all saying rom no is surging. >> he was on the stage with the president of the united states. he looked like he was in command. he was in charge of the entire discussion. i think that's the reason the polls are tightening right now. >> i told you three months ago, two months ago and one month ago, if the election were held on taday twould be a landslide romney itch the faces are the facts. we just saw them come to light in the last debate. with no outside b.s., no biased media, no interruptions or negative political ads, and no damn teleprompters. >> the debate is not just... shifting the polls. the debate is creating momentum. >> this business of just going out
. >> a brand-new poll shows governor romney with a 2-point edge over president obama. >> the day after the debate, the ground swell of romney winning was bigger and bigger. i think that will widen. >> obama's been on defense and he is going down in the polls. >> we have polling data now that shows romney ahead, wherever he is ahead, i think hebe he has been ahead for months or weeks. i don't think it happened overnight. they're all saying rom no is surging. >> he...
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the surge in the polls for mitt romney. taken right after the debate, the poll find romney swinging ahead of president obama, 49% to 45%. due to new support from romney from women voters who at one time strongly favored the president. and romney blasting the obama administration on foreign policy yesterday. during a speech in virginia he claimed the risk of conflict in the middle east is higher now than it was when president obama took office. he urged a more aggressive u.s. role in the syrian civil war. >>> meantime, president obama campaigning on the west coast sounded an urgent note in his appeal to voter. he told supporters in san francisco they must be almost obsessive in getting out the vote. the president and mitt romney returned to the crucial state of ohio later today to campaign in that critical state. >>> first lady michelle obama is sharing a bit what goes on behind the closed dufrz the white house. in a "nightline" interview she told cynthia mcfadden she steers clear of trying to influence her husband's approxi
the surge in the polls for mitt romney. taken right after the debate, the poll find romney swinging ahead of president obama, 49% to 45%. due to new support from romney from women voters who at one time strongly favored the president. and romney blasting the obama administration on foreign policy yesterday. during a speech in virginia he claimed the risk of conflict in the middle east is higher now than it was when president obama took office. he urged a more aggressive u.s. role in the syrian...
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the latest poll showing mitt romney pulling ahead of president obam a. governor romney leading 49% to 47% among likely voters. brit hume is here. nice to see you. there is a lot of enthusiasm by the people in the sound bite. but if you look at democrats, they concede that the momentum is definitely in governor romney's favor. what can -- in president obama -- governor romney's favor. what can president obama do? >> i think he would be wise not to panic because these polls, if you look at the gallup poll is sampled two way, registered voters and president obamma was a ahead. had they asked the questions that they asked to determine who is likely voter and broke out that set of voters, that indicated they were likely voters, you have mitt romney ahead by two percentage points, that's well inside the margin of error. so it could be the other way. so basically, what this is sell tells us is that the race remains exceedingly close, while the debate performance, that even many democrats acknowledge was a win for governor romney and has given him momentum here,
the latest poll showing mitt romney pulling ahead of president obam a. governor romney leading 49% to 47% among likely voters. brit hume is here. nice to see you. there is a lot of enthusiasm by the people in the sound bite. but if you look at democrats, they concede that the momentum is definitely in governor romney's favor. what can -- in president obama -- governor romney's favor. what can president obama do? >> i think he would be wise not to panic because these polls, if you look at...
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three days of polling after the debate, take a look, romney polling even with the president, erasing a five-point deficit. but then friday's strong jobs report could turn that around. i'm joined now by gallup poll editor in chief frank newport. frank, good to see you. good morning. >> good morning! >> okay, so, let me know what you think. how's the race shaping up? how much have we seen? how much have you been able to poll up to this point? >> boy, we're studying the numbers. in fact, we're just looking at the numbers from last night, which we're adding to our rolling average which we will report out at 1:00 today at gallup.com. our view of the race is that romney definitely got a significant boost on thursday and friday of last week. and by the way, that's probably what was picked up for the most part in that pew poll that was discussed. >> okay. >> but when we monitor our data from saturday and sunday, and now just looking at the numbers from last night, obama is picking back up again. so, we think that that continuation of a huge move by romney is not in the data. so, overall, we
three days of polling after the debate, take a look, romney polling even with the president, erasing a five-point deficit. but then friday's strong jobs report could turn that around. i'm joined now by gallup poll editor in chief frank newport. frank, good to see you. good morning. >> good morning! >> okay, so, let me know what you think. how's the race shaping up? how much have we seen? how much have you been able to poll up to this point? >> boy, we're studying the numbers....
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as the polls in the presidential race tighten mitt romney says if elected he would not pursue any abortion related legislation. >> lawmakers press for answers about the deadly attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi, cbs news goes inside the compound where the assault took place. >>> man versus mountain. an extreme stunt goes bad. this is the "cbs morning news" for wednesday, october 10, 2012. >>> good morning. good to be with you. i'm terrell brown. this morning the race for the white house veered from a focus on the economy to an emotionaling charged debate on social issues. in an interview yesterday with "the des moines register" mitt romney said he would not pursue abortion related legislation if elected president. >> there's no legislation with regards to abortion that i'm familiar with that would become part of my agenda. >> after the interview romney campaign said governor romney is pro life and would support legislation aimed at providing greater protections for life. romney has repeatedly said the supreme court should overturn roe v. wade. and that he would cut funding to planned
as the polls in the presidential race tighten mitt romney says if elected he would not pursue any abortion related legislation. >> lawmakers press for answers about the deadly attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi, cbs news goes inside the compound where the assault took place. >>> man versus mountain. an extreme stunt goes bad. this is the "cbs morning news" for wednesday, october 10, 2012. >>> good morning. good to be with you. i'm terrell brown. this...
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new polls released just hours ago show a post debate surge for mitt romney. but does he have enough momentum to win the whole thing? >>> plus, breaking news. the state department now says there was no protest over a controversial film on the night the ambassador to libya was murdered. no protest outside the benghazi consulate. >>> and the u.s. military says it doesn't need to refurbish hundreds of tanks. so why is $3 billion being spent now to update those tanks? it's an "outfront" investigation. let's go "outfront." >>> good evening, everyone, i'm erin burnett. and "outfront" tonight, romney dodges, obama spins. it's sort of a new dance move. dodge and spin. while the republican candidate just spoke with our wolf blitzer and when wolf asked him to get specific on tax cuts, here's what happened. >> even though you're going to lower the income tax rates for people making let's say more than $250,000 a year, but you're going to eliminate some loopholes and deductions, exemptions, tax credits, is that what i'm hearing? >> that's right. i'll bring the rate down a
new polls released just hours ago show a post debate surge for mitt romney. but does he have enough momentum to win the whole thing? >>> plus, breaking news. the state department now says there was no protest over a controversial film on the night the ambassador to libya was murdered. no protest outside the benghazi consulate. >>> and the u.s. military says it doesn't need to refurbish hundreds of tanks. so why is $3 billion being spent now to update those tanks? it's an...
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Oct 13, 2012
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big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line, but ohio is still a problem. >> another factor in all three of these polls, over 90% said the debate made no difference. 6, 7 and 7% respectively who said the debates mattered to their vote. that is, not as helpful to romney as he might have hoped. >> the debate has not as much of an impact. >> sean: i was thinking that if joe biden loses and 25 day, i am thinking that nbc news -- it's a perfect place for an unhinged, over-the-top, extreme leftist. he would be perfect over there. >> chuck todd, the political director of nbc news labeled the rasmussen poll, qu
big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line,...
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. >> governor romney won the debate, moving up in the polls. president obama gets in unemployment blues. the a-team is here to ♪ [ male announcer ] how do you make 70,000 trades a second... ♪ reach one customer at a time? ♪ or help doctors turn billions of bytes of shared information... ♪ into a fifth anniversary of remission? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. lou: monday after fbi fbi agents inspected the conflict in been talking, they are deciding whether to take action against those killing the americans and the ambassador. that is what is being reported by my next guest. eli lake. he has brought countless stories on the attack in benghazi. first come i would like to commend you and your reporting on this story. go to your most recent, which is the administration. has not decided how to proceed on how to handle these that led the attack. >> or two things going on. one is an intelligence community process going about identifying those responsible for the benghazi assaults
. >> governor romney won the debate, moving up in the polls. president obama gets in unemployment blues. the a-team is here to ♪ [ male announcer ] how do you make 70,000 trades a second... ♪ reach one customer at a time? ♪ or help doctors turn billions of bytes of shared information... ♪ into a fifth anniversary of remission? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. lou: monday after fbi fbi agents inspected the conflict in...
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we told you last night about a pew poll which shows romney leading obama. you can see also barely outside the margin of error. in that same poll, the president's 18-point lead among women disappeared. he's now running even with romney. so who is winning this vital war over middle class tax cuts? rah ham salon joins us and john avlon, senior political columnist at "newsweek" and "the daily beast." this debate over $5 trillion and what you're trying to do and on the backs of the middle class, this isn't just about a number and who is using a number specifically in what way. it goes to the heart of whether the president is going to win. >> in 2008, barack obama did something incredibly brilliant. he actually managed to outflank the republicans on taxes, which was their biggest, most potent issue for literally decades, by saying, hey, if you're middle class, you're going to get a tax cut, and it's only the small number of folks who will get anything like a tax increase and that turned out to be a very successful political message. and now mitt romney is counter
we told you last night about a pew poll which shows romney leading obama. you can see also barely outside the margin of error. in that same poll, the president's 18-point lead among women disappeared. he's now running even with romney. so who is winning this vital war over middle class tax cuts? rah ham salon joins us and john avlon, senior political columnist at "newsweek" and "the daily beast." this debate over $5 trillion and what you're trying to do and on the backs of...
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let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost always happens the challenger goes up for a while in the polls but then goes back down. he think it would have much effect on the election and i tend to agree with him. >> that is if the candidate, if the president of the united states, comes back with a different game plan. what do you think he needs to do in the next debate he didn't do in the first debate? >> well, the bottom line is, i think that he is a fighter. i think he will come to the conclusion that he let romney get away with a little too much trying to be very presidential, and i don't think you'll see the same thing in the next debate. >> let's talk a
let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost...